YH Convergence Trade Report - April 2019
A convergence trade is a closed-end fund that is trading at a wider-than-usual discount and is likely to close that discount. On some occasions, the discount is warranted- most likely because they cut the distribution. Other times they are trading wide because of the sector being out of favor or general market weakness.
We look at our table to see those funds that are trading well below their 52-week average. We further inspect how far off the fund is from its 52-week high. Given the favorable Fed backdrop - basically a green light for CEFs- in general we think it is highly possible that they re-reach those 52-week highs in premiums.
Please note, this is not a blanket buy recommendation of these funds but a starting point for further analysis.
There is a lot of data below- do not be intimidated! The keys here are the two grey columns on the right side of the table.
The "convergence opp" column (third from the right) shows the amount of potential discount closing if the fund were to get back to their 1-year discount (recall that we said we thought discounts could exceed their 1-year levels and approach 52-week highs). The second to last column (green labeled "52W Disc High %") on the right shows the 52-week high in discount/premium. The last column (52 wk High Opp) shows the amount of discount tightening that would be needed in order for it to reach those 52-week highs again.
Remember, sometimes discounts exist for a reason - most likely because the distribution has been cut. I'd love to start a discussion and get a conversation going on some of these opportunities. Please leave comments below or join us on the chat during the market hours.
It is interesting to see the differences month-to-month in the chart. The list continues to shrink as the discounts tighten up.
For those that are looking for a quick and reduced universe of funds to investigate, check out these funds. Watch for those that have recently reduced their distribution.
Again, if you think you've found a gem in the rough, comment below or send me a quick personal message and we dig deeper.